Royals vs Astros game discussion 6/13
· Yahoo Sports
The Royals are going to take the field again tonight, and there’s nothing you or I can do to stop them. So we might as well see if they can find a win.
The good news is that Noah Cameron is pitching for the Royals. After being so bad early that fans were ready to demote him, release him, or fire him into the sun, Cameron has been one of the best pitchers in baseball over the last month. He’s tied with Reid Detmers (another surprising entry) for third-most SP fWAR in MLB over that span behind only the sensational NL duo of Jacob Misiorowski and Cristopher Sánchez. He’s tied for sixth in K-BB% and SIERA. He’s tied for third in FIP and xFIP. He barely edges The Mis for first in xERA. The point is, he hasn’t just been good, he’s been great, and the underlying numbers say it has little to do with luck. And most of that is Royals being lucky enough to watch him pitch every fifth day while the guys we all thought might be the aces take turns starting and stopping their rehab assignments.
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The Astros will send Mike Burrows to the mound. This is also Burrows’ second full season, but it’s not going nearly as well for him. He’s got a 5.77 ERA and a pitiful 9.8% K-BB%. He’s got a pretty standard five pitch mix, all of which he’ll use liberally. A four-seam fastball, slider, curve, changeup, and sinker. Only the slider gets in the zone more often than not. Only the changeup generates any amount of whiffs, and only the changeup gets weak contact. Basically, as with many pitchers, most batters would be better served to leave the bats on their shoulders and let him do himself in. The Royals, despite their new, more patient approach, have proven time and time again that even with their more patient approach this year, they still aren’t as good at it as a lot of other teams that consistently punish the local squad for nibbling too much.
Lineups
The Royals are using a very similar lineup to last night, with Lane Thomas in left and batting eighth ahead of Kameron Misner instead of Isaac Collins batting ninth. That lineup produced eight runs, so it’s hard to find too much to criticize. I was a bit worried the Royals were going to yank Jac Caglianone back below Salvador Perez since Jac had a poor night last night and Salvy had three hits, but the Royals weren’t quite that reactionary today.
